Abstract

In this article, we implement a flexible Gibbs sampler to make inferences for two-parameter Birnbaum–Saunders (BS) distribution in the presence of right-censored data. The Gibbs sampler is applied on the fiducial distributions of the BS parameters derived using the maximum likelihood, methods of moments, and their bias-reduced estimates. A Monte-Carlo study is conducted to make comparisons between these estimates for Type-II right censoring with various parameter settings, sample sizes, and censoring percentages. It is concluded that the bias-reduced estimates outperform the rest with increasing precision. Higher sample sizes improve the overall accuracy of all the estimates while the amount of censoring shows a negative effect. Further comparisons are made with existing methods using two real-world examples.

Highlights

  • The Birnbaum–Saunders (BS) distribution [1] was originally introduced to model failure time due to the growth of a dominant crack that is subject to cyclic stress that causes a failure when it reaches a threshold level

  • Our simulation study indicates that the biased reduced maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and moment estimators (MMEs) estimates are robust against higher censoring percentages and lower sample sizes

  • The amount of censoring and sample size has a direct impact on the performance of the MLE and MME methods and one may cautiously apply them for smaller to moderate sample size problems

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Summary

Introduction

The Birnbaum–Saunders (BS) distribution [1] was originally introduced to model failure time due to the growth of a dominant crack that is subject to cyclic stress that causes a failure when it reaches a threshold level. Reference [9] introduced modified MLEs that are bias-free to second-order and considered bootstrap bias correction They derived a Bartlett correction that improves the finite-sample performance of the likelihood ratio test in finite samples. Reference [13] suggested a Bayesian estimation method for Type-II censored BS data in the simple step stress accelerated life test with power law accelerated form. They applied a Gibbs sampling procedure to get the Bayesian estimates for shape parameter of BS distribution and parameters of power law–accelerated model.

The Maximum Likelihood Approach
Modified Moment Estimators
Bias-Reduced Estimators
Application of Gibbs Sampler
Monte-Carlo Simulation
Illustrative Examples
Concluding Remarks
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