Abstract

To monitor fetal size and identify predictors for birthweight in women with gestational diabetes (GDM) and normal glucose tolerance (NGT). Cohort study of 1843 women universally screened for GDM, with routine ultrasounds each trimester. Women with GDM and NGT were categorized in subgroups by birthweight centile. Of the total cohort, 231 (12.5%) women were diagnosed with GDM. Fetal size, incidence of large-for-gestational age (LGA: 12.3% of GDM vs. 12.9% of NGT, p = 0.822) and small-for-gestational age (SGA) neonates (4.8% of GDM vs. 5.1% of NGT, p = 0.886) were similar between GDM and NGT. GDM women with LGA neonates were more insulin resistant at baseline and had more often estimated fetal weight (EFW) ≥ P90 on the 28-33 weeks ultrasound (p = 0.033) than those with AGA (appropriate-for-gestational age) neonates. Compared to NGT women with AGA neonates, those with LGA neonates were more often obese and multiparous, had higher fasting glycemia, a worse lipid profile, and higher insulin resistance between 24 -28 weeks, with more often excessive gestational weight gain. On the 28-33 weeks ultrasound, abdominal circumference ≥ P95 had a high positive predictive value for LGA neonates in GDM (100%), whereas, in both GDM and NGT, EFW ≥ P90 and ≤ P10 had a high negative predictive value for LGA and SGA neonates (> 88%), respectively. There were no differences in fetal size throughout pregnancy nor in LGA incidence between GDM and NGT women. EFW centile at 28-33 weeks correlated well with birthweight. This indicates that GDM treatment is effective and targeted ultrasound follow-up is useful. TRIAL REGISTRATION CLINICALTRIALS.GOV: NCT02036619. Registration date: January 15, 2014. https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02036619 .

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