Abstract

This paper analyses the impact of livestock feed prices and pasture quality on the long and short-term costs of milk production in a region of Spain (Navarre). The empirical results are obtained from the estimation of a flexible short-run cost function, followed by the approximation of long-run equilibrium based on the quasi-fixed factors adjusted to their optimal levels. The results reveal a high sensitivity of milk production costs to changes in livestock feed prices due to two reasons. One is that, as milk production expands, it tends to become technologically more intensive. The other is that, in the current structure of dairy farming, land input is suboptimal, particularly in the case of large farms and areas of poor pasture. The results reveal that short-run substitution between feed and livestock is a potential strategy for farms to respond to feed price increases. They also suggest that structural policies designed to strengthen the dairy sector’s competitiveness should vary according to agro-climatic conditions. In areas of poor pasture, herd growth might be used as a long-term measure to increase competitiveness through economies of scale; while the alternatives for farms in better-endowed regions also include extensification of dairy production.

Highlights

  • Since 1984, milk production in the European Union (EU) has been regulated by a quota system that has affected milk prices and competitiveness within the sector

  • Using a sample period coinciding with the middle part of ours (1998/2001) and an average herd size similar to that of our smallsize group, Moro et al (2005) estimated marginal costs at € 210 t–1 for Spain excluding the northwestern region of the country

  • We found in our study an estimated marginal cost of € 284 t–1

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Summary

Introduction

Since 1984, milk production in the European Union (EU) has been regulated by a quota system that has affected milk prices and competitiveness within the sector. The EU milk sector is currently facing a period of uncertainty due to the prospect of the abolition of the milk quota regime by 2015 (announced in the MidTerm Reform of 2003 and later confirmed in “Health Check” 2008), which will increase competition between farms and between regions within the EU. This institutional change is being planned against a current background of rising prices and high volatility in the international livestock feed market (OECD-FAO, 2010; FAO, 2012). Various factors, such as farm-level land endowment and availability of pasture, farm-growth strategies and regional livestock feed patterns, determine the degree of externalization, which varies with different milk quota transfer regulations across EU member countries and the attachment of milk quotas to land

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