Abstract

The article presents results of feasibility analysis of construction of new hydropower plants in Ukraine according to the Hydropower development program for the period till 2026, which was approved by our Government in 2016. In particular, there are analyzed perspective plans for building the Kakhovka hydropower plant #2 and six new hydropower plants on the river Dniester, as well as developing small hydropower in the country. The feasibility analysis is based on pairwise comparison of alternatives by the criterion of minimum aggregate risk taking into account the risk of unused opportunities. Components of aggregate risks of alternatives are estimated in dimensionless units for water-energy and operability characteristics and costs of commissioning of new hydro aggregates.

Highlights

  • In connection with the accelerated development of renewable energy in our country [1, 2], especially solar and wind [3,4,5,6], being observed in the last decade (Table 1), a number of difficult issues has appeared relating to sustainable and reliable functioning the national combined energy system (CES) in the conditions of a significant deficit of regulating capacities of large hydropower plants (HPPs) and pumped-storage hydropower plants (PSHPPs) [7,8,9].ISSN: 2411-4049

  • The role of manoeuvre power sources in the combined energy systems is best fulfilled by HPPs and PSHPPs

  • The purpose of this article is to ground the feasibility of building new hydropower plants in Ukraine in accordance with the Program [7] taking into account the risk of unused possibilities

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Summary

Introduction

In connection with the accelerated development of renewable energy in our country [1, 2], especially solar and wind [3,4,5,6], being observed in the last decade (Table 1), a number of difficult issues has appeared relating to sustainable and reliable functioning the national combined energy system (CES) in the conditions of a significant deficit of regulating capacities of large hydropower plants (HPPs) and pumped-storage hydropower plants (PSHPPs) [7,8,9]

According to data for the first quarter of 2019
Some general remarks concerning current state of hydropower in Ukraine
With large hydropower 2 Without large hydropower
Private investments
Formalization of the research
Solving the problem and results obtained
Findings
Conclusions

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