Abstract

BackgroundFailure to rescue (FTR) focuses on the ability to prevent death among patients who have postoperative complications. The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Quality Measurement Task Force has developed a new, risk-adjusted FTR quality metric for adult cardiac surgery. MethodsThe study population was taken from 1118 STS Adult Cardiac Surgery Database participants including patients who underwent isolated CABG, aortic valve replacement with or without CABG, or mitral valve repair or replacement with or without CABG between January 2015 and June 2019. The FTR analysis was derived from patients who had one or more of the following complications: prolonged ventilation, stroke, reoperation, and renal failure. Data were randomly split into 70% training samples (n = 89,059) and 30% validation samples (n = 38,242). Risk variables included STS predicted risk of mortality, operative procedures, and intraoperative variables (cardiopulmonary bypass and cross-clamp times, unplanned procedures, need for circulatory support, and massive transfusion). ResultsOverall mortality for patients undergoing any of the index operations during the study period was 2.6% (27,045 of 1,058,138), with mortality of 0.9% (8316 of 930,837), 8% (7618 of 94,918), 30.6% (8247 of 26,934), 51.9% (2661 of 5123), and 62.3% (203 of 326), respectively, among patients having none, one, two, three, or four complications. The FTR risk model calibration was excellent, as were model discrimination (c-statistic 0.806) and the Brier score (0.102). Using 95% Bayesian credible intervals, 62 participants (5.6%) performed worse and 53 (4.7%) performed better than expected. ConclusionsA new risk-adjusted FTR metric has been developed that complements existing STS performance measures. The metric specifically assesses institutional effectiveness of postoperative care, allowing hospitals to target quality improvement efforts.

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