Failure forecast method applied on burst test data to valuate its practicability for acoustic emission testing and monitoring purposes

Abstract

This paper describes the performance of a laboratory burst test on a test object with a severe real-world crack, the interpretation and evaluation of the acoustic emission (AE) data in general and in particular the results of further AE data trend analysis utilising the failure forecast method at different sections in testing time. The objective of this exercise is to gain experience in application of this method and to check whether or not it could be employed for testing and/or monitoring purposes. The burst pressure prediction as well as the ratio between the actual test pressure and the burst pressure prediction, the failure convergence, are consistent with the usual AE data evaluation throughout the test. Test sequences with a strong progressive increase of activity trend in AE data are highlighted by a gradually increasing failure convergence. This method has the potential to complement state-of-the-art evaluation techniques for testing applications, in particular with activity trend analysis. Due to the good results obtained already with a rather simple approach, remaining useful life prediction for on-line monitoring applications seems to be within reach.