Factors associated with poor survival outcomes in patients with prostate cancer (PCa) with radiographic disease progression in the setting of low PSA.

Abstract

60 Background: Recent studies, including a post-hoc analysis of the ARCHES trial, highlight radiographic disease progression (rDP) occurring without concordant rise in prostate specific antigen (PSA). In a previous study by our group, we reported that almost 40% of patients on 2nd generation hormone therapy experience rDP with non-rising PSA and have poor survival outcomes. The current analysis more specifically focuses on the subgroup of patients with rDP occurring at low PSA (<0.5 ng/dL) and describes factors associated with poorer survival outcomes in this patient population. Methods: In a single institution study, we reviewed the prospectively maintained Mayo Clinic C-11 Choline PET registry for patients treated between 2011 and 2021, who experienced rDP at low PSA (value < 0.5 ng/mL). Disease progression on C-11 choline PET was confirmed by either tissue biopsy or subsequent response to therapy. We investigated factors associated with poor cancer-specific survival outcomes in univariable and multivariable cox regression analyses. Results: In total, 220 (16%) patients experiencing rDP at low PSA were identified. Median (IQR) age at rDP was 67.91 (61.10 – 73.87) yrs., median (IQR) primary Gleason score was 9 (7-9), and median (IQR) PSA was 0.17 (0 – 0.32) ng/ml. 75% of the patients (n=166) had CRPC disease status at time of rDP. Prior systemic treatments included 2nd generation HT in 18% (n= 40) and chemotherapy in 31% (n=70). Sites of rDP were divided into 7% local (n=16), 42% lymph nodes (n=91), 43% bone (n=95), and 8% visceral metastases (n=18). Over a median follow-up duration of 55 months, 46% of patients (n=100) reported death. Factors associated with poor survival outcomes are demonstrated in the table and include age at rDP, CRPC status, and disease location (P-value <0.05). Conclusions: We found that radiographic disease progression commonly occurs at low PSA (<0.5 ng/mL). CRPC-disease status and the development of visceral metastases are associated with particularly poor survival outcomes. To identify early progression, monitoring with imaging may be warranted, even in the patients with low PSA. [Table: see text]