Abstract

In the Danish Colorectal Cancer Screening Program (DCCSP), 37% of participants undergoing colonoscopy have a negative result with no obvious findings that can be attributed to a positive faecal immunochemical test (FIT). The aim of this work was to identify predictors for a negative colonoscopy in DCCSP participants with a positive FIT. We included 73 655 FIT-positive DCCSP participants using the Danish Colorectal Cancer Screening Database and linked their screening results with data from several other national health registers. We stratified participants by all predictors, and compared them using multivariate logistic regression analysis. Results are reported as odds ratios (ORs). We found that having a condition linked to gastrointestinal bleeding, for example fissures, haemorrhoids and inflammatory bowel disease, was strongly associated with the probability of having a negative colonoscopy [OR 2.77 (95% CI 2.59, 2.96)]. FIT concentration was inversely related to the probability of a negative colonoscopy, the OR decreased steadily from 0.79 (95% CI 0.75, 0.83) in the 40-59 μg/g group, to 0.44 (95% CI 0.42, 0.46) in the ≥200 μg/g group. Women had a 1.64 (95% CI 1.59, 1.70) times higher probability of a negative colonoscopy than men. Our findings indicate that baseline conditions linked to gastrointestinal bleeding are an associating factor with having a negative colonoscopy. The same is true for low FIT concentration and female sex. Further studies with similar findings could suggest that an incorporation of these factors into a personalized screening approach by differentiating between diagnostic modalities could improve the process for the participant while alleviating the health care system.

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