Abstract
BackgroundTobacco smoking is growing at an alarming rate in the developing world and sub-Saharan Africa. Although Ethiopia has a relatively low rate in the region, it is not immune to the tobacco epidemic. The government of Ethiopia passed an anti-tobacco bill in 2015 that includes measures governing tobacco consumption, advertising, packaging, and labeling. To effectively address the challenge of tobacco control, the government should consider a number of aspects of tobacco production and consumption, such as local production in rural areas, as well as the complementarity nature of tobacco and khat use.MethodsUsing the World Bank’s Demographic and Health Surveys (2011 and 2016), this paper analyzes the key determinants of tobacco smoking in Ethiopia, emphasizing possible differences in various social contexts, across regions. More specifically, we assess the association between khat use and tobacco smoking while controlling for various observed individual-level, household-level, and community-level covariates. Using GPS data, we are able to capture the neighboring effects of smoking behavior in community clusters bordering other administrative regions as well as differences in smoking patterns between lowland and highland residents. We utilize a multilevel modeling framework and use a two-stage residual inclusion estimation method that accounts for the endogeneity of khat and tobacco use.ResultsThe results suggest that chewing khat and geographic regions are statistically significant determinants of tobacco smoking even after controlling for various socioeconomic and demographic factors. Altitude information analysis suggests that people living in lowlands are more likely to smoke compared to those living in highland areas. Additional analysis including interactions between regions and khat use indicate wide inter-regional variations in tobacco smoking by khat users. We also extend our analysis by interacting khat use with religious adherence. Results indicate a wide variation in tobacco smoking by khat chewers across different religious groups.ConclusionsTo effectively control tobacco smoking of the diverse communities in Ethiopia, policymakers should consider a multi-pronged policy approach that combines various policy tools that account for regional variation, the local social contexts, as well as the complementary nature of smoking and khat chewing practices.
Highlights
Tobacco smoking is growing at an alarming rate in the developing world and sub-Saharan Africa
Data The analysis uses the 2011 and 2016 Demographic and Heath Surveys (DHS) data for Ethiopia collected by the Ethiopia Central Statistical Agency (CSA) with technical assistance from ICF International and funding through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID)
Using 2011 and 2016 Ethiopian Demographic and Health survey and a random intercept logistic model with two-stage residual inclusion estimation method, this study examines the influence of various individual, household, and community level factors on tobacco smoking in Ethiopia
Summary
Tobacco smoking is growing at an alarming rate in the developing world and sub-Saharan Africa. Ethiopia has a relatively low rate in the region, it is not immune to the tobacco epidemic. Despite decades of tobacco control policies, smoking kills more than seven million people each year. Sub-Saharan Africa, is experiencing increasing tobacco use. The prevalence of smoking varies considerably among African countries, ranging from 4% in Ghana to 27.2% in Lesotho [2, 3]. Some countries have seen a rapid and significant increase in consumption over the past 16 years. Rising population growth, increased consumer purchasing power due to economic growth, and lax enforcement of tobacco control policies are among the contributing factors that make the African region more susceptible to the tobacco industry [4]
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