Abstract

Though declines in the growth and condition of Great Lakes lake whitefish ( Coregonus clupeaformis ) have been largely attributed to food web disruptions caused by invasive dreissenid mussels, a comprehensive evaluation of alternative hypotheses is currently lacking. Using various statistical approaches, we evaluated 69 years of data from the inner basin of South Bay, Lake Huron, considering the role of biological variables (food availability as Diporeia abundance and lake whitefish relative abundance as catch per unit effort, CPUE) versus environmental variables (climate change as growing degree days >5 °C and productive habitat capacity as percent epilimnetic volume, EV) on the condition and early growth rates of resident lake whitefish. Consistently, biological variables (Diporeia abundance, CPUE) best explained changes in lake whitefish growth and condition, respectively, in years when Diporeia data were available. In their absence, environmental variables (EV) best explained early growth rates of lake whitefish, whereas CPUE again best explained lake whitefish condition. Our analysis revealed that environmental change contributed significantly but alone was not sufficient to explain declines in lake whitefish growth after dreissenid establishment, whereas biological variables considered here could account for the majority of growth and condition changes observed in this population.

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