Abstract
The lack of efficient application of transportation planning process in developing cities, such as Gaza, leads to deficiency in adopting the suitable transport policies to mitigate the transportation problems resulting from urbanization and rapid increase of population. The mode choice model is probably the most important element in transportation planning and policy making. The aim of this study is to develop mode choice model for work trips in Gaza city and therefore investigating the factors that affect the employed people’s choice for transport modes. The model was developed using about two thirds of 552 questionnaires distributed for this purpose. The rest remaining third of questionnaires were used to validate the chosen models. The results of this research show that the factors that significantly affect the choice of transport modes are: total travel time, total cost divided by personal income, ownership of means of transport, distance, age, and average family monthly income. The developed model is able to predict the choice behavior of employed people in Gaza city as it is valid at 95% confidence level. This study can be used by transportation planners to predict the employed people’s behavior and travel demand analysis. The developed model can be used for predicting the future modal split by inputting predicted future value of exploratory variables.
Highlights
Gaza strip is located at the southern part of Palestine with area of 365 km2
The results of this research show that the factors that significantly affect the choice of transport modes are: total travel time, total cost divided by personal income, ownership of means of transport, distance, age, and average family monthly income
The results show that travel time (TT), distance (DIST), average family monthly income for motorcycle (FINC motorcycle), and average family monthly income for walking (FINC walking) have absolute t-statistics value of 2.98, 4.17, 2.38, and 3.14 respectively, which are greater than the critical t-value at 95% confidence level
Summary
Gaza strip is located at the southern part of Palestine with area of 365 km. The percent of males is about 50.6% and the females represent about 49.4% of the populations. According to these figures, Gaza strip is considered one of the most densely populated areas in the world with 4356 inhabitants/km. The percent populations within the work age (over than 15 years) represents about 51.7%. The participation of labor force is 38.1% of the populations within the work age. Modeling is one important part of the most decision making process. Thereafter, the following 20 years witnessed important theoretical development in the field of transport modeling leading to further work in specific sub-areas [3]
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