Abstract

BackgroundFew studies have focused on risk factors which may predict an intrahepatic local recurrence (LR) on the surgical edge rather than a distant recurrence (DR) in other liver segments after surgery for hepatocarcinoma (HCC). The purpose of this study was to assess the risk factors for both patterns of recurrence. MethodsAn international, multicentre, retrospective study was conducted by collecting data on all consecutive patients with a first diagnosis of HCC who were treated between 2010 and 2017. The presence of macrovascular invasion was an exclusion criteria. ResultsAbout 376 patients were enrolled, and, among them, 62 presented LR, while 90 had DR. Baseline characteristics were comparable between the two groups, but the DR group had a much higher rate of HCV infection (48.9% vs 29%, p 0.014) and a higher median nodule size (3.40 cm IQR 2.2–5.5 versus 3.0 cm IQR 2.0–5.0 in the LR group, p 0.025). A positive surgical margin (R1, HR 4.721; 95% CI 1.83–12.17; p 0.001) was the only independent risk factor for LR, while MVI (HR 1.837; 95% CI 1.03–3.77; p 0.039) and satellitosis (HR 2.440, 95% CI 1.43–3.77, p 0.001) were the only predictive factors for DR. ConclusionMVI and satellitosis are predictive factors of intrahepatic distant recurrence, configuring a probable hallmark of advanced systemic disease, regardless of the treatment. LR has to be considered the expression of surgical failure.

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