Factor instrumental variable quantile regression

Abstract

AbstractThis paper proposes a factor instrumental variable quantile regression (FIVQR) estimator and studies its asymptotic properties. The proposed estimators share with quantile regression the advantage of exploring the shape of the conditional distribution of the dependent variable. When there are a factor structure and co-movement for economic variables, the underlying unobservable factors (or common components) are more efficient instruments. The proposed estimators achieve the optimality in the following sense: The method of principal component consistently estimates the space spanned by the ideal instruments which are utilized to control the endogeneity in the quantile regression analysis. Analyzing the asymptotic properties of the estimator, we assume that a panel of observable instruments follows a factor structure and the endogenous variables also share the same unobservable factors. Using the estimated factors as instruments, we show that the FIVQR estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal. Furthermore, when compared in the GMM framework, the proposed estimator is more efficient than the GMM estimator using many observable instruments directly. Monte Carlo studies demonstrate that the proposed estimators perform well. For an empirical application, we use a firm-level panel data set consisting of trading volumes and returns on DJIA to explore the asymmetric return–volume relation, controlling the endogeneity problem with the estimated factor instruments.