Abstract

Paper describes a method for prediction of extreme response statistics of fixed offshore structures subjected to random seas by Monte Carlo simulation. The nonlinear structural response know as “ringing” is studied, caused by the wave impact force on structural support units. Common challenge for design of such structures is a sound estimate of the hydrodynamic load inclusive diffraction effects. Structure is modeled as a multi-degree of freedom (MDOF) system and number of Monte Carlo simulations was performed to highlight extreme response in severe random seas. Since MDOF numerical simulation is costly, an efficient statistical technique was adopted, minimizing required computational effort. Environmental contour method was combined with accurate distribution tail extrapolation. The aim of the work was to develop specific methods which make it possible to extract the necessary information about the extreme response from relatively short time histories. The method proposed in this paper opens up the possibility to predict simply and efficiently both short-term and long-term extreme response statistics. The results presented are based on extensive simulation results for the large fixed platform operating on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. Measured response time histories were used to validate numerical results.

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