Abstract
Data from 306 stations in India, for the 70 years (1901–70) of summer (June–September) monsoonal rainfall, are grouped into 32 sub-regions. Extreme event theory is used to analyse the return periods of extreme rainfall deficits within each of these sub-regions, using the log-Pearson type III frequency distribution in a spatial rather than a temporal context. The resultant estimates for 2, 5 and 10 year return periods are compared with the patterns derived from the Gaussian frequency distribution applied to the 306 stations individually; the 50 and 100 year return period estimates are also considered.
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