Abstract
The Bohai Sea and its surrounding areas are rich in oil and natural gas and play an important role in industry, agriculture and the economy. However, the Bohai Sea suffers severely from sea ice in the winter. While previous research has predominantly focused on methods for retrieving sea ice parameters in the Bohai Sea, analyses of their long-term statistical patterns have been limited. The Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI) is the first geostationary satellite for ocean color remote sensing, offering high spatial and temporal resolution, which greatly facilitates the extraction of Bohai Sea ice parameters. Utilizing GOCI data, we systematically extracted relevant sea ice parameters for the Bohai Sea region from 2011 to 2021. These parameters include sea ice concentration, sea ice thickness, and sea ice drift. We conducted a comprehensive statistical analysis of the long-term sea ice changes in the Bohai Sea and found that the development process of winter sea ice area is different from the sea ice thickness, and the direction of sea ice drift is basically unchanged. Then we developed statistical models linking sea ice parameters with ocean dynamic factors such as temperature, wind, and drift currents. Among them, the correlation coefficient between the predicted value and the measured value of the sea ice area model is the highest, reaching 0.8382. Furthermore, we examined the previously unexplored relationship between daily sea ice area, sea ice thickness, and accumulated temperature with their respective starting temperatures and accumulation periods. This study provides critical data to support Bohai Sea ice monitoring and marine environmental research. The results of this study contribute to a better understanding of sea ice change trends in the Bohai Sea and inform the development of disaster prevention and mitigation measures.
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