Extracellular water/total body water ratio as predictor of mortality in hemodialysis patients

Abstract

Background Overhydration is a predictor of mortality in hemodialysis (HD) patients. Bioimpedance spectroscopy (BIS) is used to determine the body composition. Extracellular Water/Total Body Water (ECW/TBW) ratio has been proposed to predict mortality. Methods Multicenter, prospective, observational, proof-of-concept study to estimate the impact of ECW/TBW in global and cardiovascular mortality and the relationship with cardiovascular biomarkers. The study included 60 patients (mean age, 71.8 ± 11.4 years; mean time on HD, 52.3 ± 30.8 months) with a median follow-up of 30.5 months (IQ range, 17.2–34 months). Results Post-dialysis ECW/TBW was directly associated with NT-proBNP and cTnT. During the study 28 patients died, most of them (43%) due to cardiovascular events. Compared to the survivors, these subjects had a higher post-dialysis ECW/TBW ratio (p = 0.006), while for cardiovascular mortality the only significant difference was a higher pre-dialysis ECW/TBW. The ability of post-dialysis ECW/TBW ratio to predict all-cause mortality had an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.71 (CI 95%, 0.57–0.81; p = 0.002), with a cutoff point of 0.5023. For cardiovascular mortality the AUC was 0.66 (CI 95%, 0.52–0.77; p = 0.045), with a cutoff point of 0.4713. Conclusions The post-dialysis ECW/TBW ratio measured by BIS can be a predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.