Abstract

Road traffic accidents have been listed in the top 10 global causes of death for many decades. Traditional measures such as education and legislation have contributed to limited improvements in terms of reducing accidents due to people driving in undesirable statuses, such as when suffering from stress or drowsiness. Attention is drawn to predicting drivers’ future status so that precautions can be taken in advance as effective preventative measures. Common prediction algorithms include recurrent neural networks (RNNs), gated recurrent units (GRUs), and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks. To benefit from the advantages of each algorithm, nondominated sorting genetic algorithm-III (NSGA-III) can be applied to merge the three algorithms. This is named NSGA-III-optimized RNN-GRU-LSTM. An analysis can be made to compare the proposed prediction algorithm with the individual RNN, GRU, and LSTM algorithms. Our proposed model improves the overall accuracy by 11.2–13.6% and 10.2–12.2% in driver stress prediction and driver drowsiness prediction, respectively. Likewise, it improves the overall accuracy by 6.9–12.7% and 6.9–8.9%, respectively, compared with boosting learning with multiple RNNs, multiple GRUs, and multiple LSTMs algorithms. Compared with existing works, this proposal offers to enhance performance by taking some key factors into account—namely, using a real-world driving dataset, a greater sample size, hybrid algorithms, and cross-validation. Future research directions have been suggested for further exploration and performance enhancement.

Highlights

  • According to The Global Status Report On Road Safety 2018 [1], annual road traffic crashes have led to 1.35 million and 50 million deaths and injuries, respectively

  • To address the aforementioned inadequacies (Section 1.2), we proposed the use of a nondominated sorting genetic algorithm-III (NSGA-III) to optimally design a prediction model using recurrent neural networks (RNNs), gated recurrent units (GRUs), and long short-term memory (LSTM)

  • We proposed an NSGA-III optimized RNN-GRU-LSTM prediction model

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Summary

Introduction

According to The Global Status Report On Road Safety 2018 [1], annual road traffic crashes have led to 1.35 million and 50 million deaths and injuries, respectively. Road traffic crashes are the leading cause of death for people aged 5 to 29. This can wreak havoc on economic and social development. The members of the United Nations agreed in the 2030 Agenda For Sustainable Development to work on the aforementioned issue in Target 3.6: by 2020, to halve the number of global deaths and injuries caused by road traffic accidents [2]. There is a pressing need to propose effective measures to reduce the number of road traffic crashes

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