Abstract

In recent years, many studies have been published on the applications of exergy analyses to complex systems, including entire countries. Oddly, the results, although consistent, appear to lead to divergent conclusions. The underlying problem is that in a “pure” thermodynamic analysis, the so-called “externalities”, i.e., labor, capital, and environmental costs, are often neglected or only approximately included in the picture. In 1998, an extension of the theory that included the exergy content of the externalities was introduced, called “extended exergy accounting” (EEA). Its novelty consisted of the explicit inclusion of the exergy embodied in the externalities. The aim of this work is to use the results of the extended exergy accounting to obtain an indicator that can be used to assess the sustainable development of a country. First, a novel methodological approach to the theory is presented, based on the exploitation of a very large dataset obtained from several national and European statistical institutions. After a brief discussion of the theory, an application to the case of Italy is developed over a 5 years time window (2013–2017). The paper includes a comparison with the concurrent evolution of other sustainability indicators and of the gross domestic product (GDP) indicator. The results show a consistent trend for EE as compared with those of other indicators, and also convincingly proves that this trend is incompatible with that of the GDP. The EE indicator is called the exergy footprint, which also displays a remarkable sensitivity to both environmental and economic factors.

Highlights

  • According to a recent United Nations report [1], the human population is expected to reach 8.5 billion by 2030, 9.7 by 2050, and 10.9 by 2100

  • An important point is the very large amount of potential exergy available from the hydraulic source in Italy: this may suggest an investigation of this opportunity in more detail from a perspective of sustainable development, especially in view of the current trend of dismissing hydroplants of lower capacities on the ground of their low rate of return on investment (ROI)

  • An extended exergy analysis of the Italian system was conducted over a period of five years (2013–2017)

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Summary

Introduction

According to a recent United Nations report [1], the human population is expected to reach 8.5 billion by 2030, 9.7 by 2050, and 10.9 by 2100. Let us consider for example the case of deforestation: given that the harvesting of live trees and marketing of their wood are attributed an economic value, their contribution to the GDP will be positive, this might be a disaster from a sustainability point of view Against this background, several indicators were developed in the last years, aiming to replace or supplement the GDP [5]: the Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare [6], the Ecological Footprint [7], the Subjective Well-Being [8], the Human Development Index [9], and the Living Planet Report [10] indicators. This may be the reason why GDP is currently still the main decision-making tool for most countries

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