Abstract
This paper provides a preview of the former stages through which the market of express postal services had gone and the possibilities of further development, both on the global and local level. The aim of this paper is to complete an estimation of the need for this type of express services using the competitive Lotka–Volterra model in Serbia. In order to reduce the complexity of the process, the division of competition was conducted in two segments: the public operator and the private segment (comprised of all private operators). The given model provides a description of a dynamic competition relationship by indicating the existence of the equilibrium point between the public and the private sectors, and the conditions of its stability. The obtained values indicate that the private sector affects the public operator. The existing predator-prey relationship gives preference to the private sector and can be described by the Lotka-Volterra model.
Highlights
The examination of the postal services market started in the 1970s
A significant decline in performed postal services caused by the general economic recession which happened in that time, the development of telecommunications, as well as the emergence of a strong direct competition imposed a new task to public operators - profitable business
Express services market in Serbia has a tendency of continuous growth
Summary
The examination of the postal services market started in the 1970s. A significant decline in performed postal services caused by the general economic recession which happened in that time, the development of telecommunications, as well as the emergence of a strong direct competition imposed a new task to public operators - profitable business. Basic types of institutional changes that all states accepted which indirectly encouraged the change in behaviour of the public postal operators are: separation of postal services from telecommunication services (United Kingdom in 1981, Germany in 1989, Poland in 1991, New Zealand in 1993, Serbia in 1997, the Netherlands in 1998, Austria in 1999, etc.) and the liberalization on the market of the postal services [1].
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