Abstract

PurposeOnce-daily lenvatinib 24 mg is the approved dose for radioiodine-refractory differentiated thyroid cancer. In a phase 3 trial with lenvatinib, the starting dose of 24 mg was associated with a relatively high incidence of adverse events that required dose reductions. We used an exposure–response model to investigate the risk–benefit of different dosing regimens for lenvatinib.MethodsA population pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics modeling analysis was used to simulate the potential benefit of lower starting doses to retain efficacy with improved safety. The seven lenvatinib regimens tested were: 24 mg; and 20 mg, 18 mg, and 14 mg, all with or without up-titration to 24 mg. Exposure–response models for efficacy and safety were created using a 24-week time course.ResultsThe approved dose of lenvatinib at 24 mg, predicted the best efficacy. However, the lenvatinib dosing regimens of 14 mg with up-titration or 18 mg without up-titration potentially provides comparable efficacy (objective response rate at 24 weeks) and a better safety profile.ConclusionsTreatment with lenvatinib at starting doses lower than the approved once-daily 24 mg dose could provide comparable antitumor efficacy and a similar or better safety profile. Based on the results from this modeling and simulation study, a comparator dose of lenvatinib 18 mg without up-titration was selected for evaluation in a clinical trial.

Highlights

  • Of the various thyroid cancers, advanced differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) represents a small, but difficult-totreat patient population, when the disease becomes radioiodine refractory (RR) [1]

  • CV coefficient of variation, Emax maximum effect of lenvatinib on tumor suppression, EC50 lenvatinib average area under the concentration–time curve that results in 50% of Emax, IIV interindividual variability, KG tumor growth rate, SD standard deviation; % RSE percent relative standard error of the estimate = SE/parameter estimate × 100, λ resistance term

  • B1 baseline odds for experiencing an adverse event leading to dose interruption, B2–B1 baseline odds for experiencing an adverse event leading to dose reduction/withdrawal, Emax maximum effect of lenvatinib, EC50 lenvatinib area under the concentration–time curve that results in 50% of Emax, IIV interindividual variability, RR-DTC radioiodine-refractory differentiated thyroid cancer, SD standard deviation, %RSE percent relative standard error of the estimate = SE/parameter estimate × 100 or observed as early in the time course of treatment, when compared with the approved 24 mg dose (Fig. 3b)

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Summary

Introduction

Of the various thyroid cancers, advanced differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) represents a small, but difficult-totreat patient population, when the disease becomes radioiodine refractory (RR) [1]. Associated with the development and progression of thyroid cancer has offered a new strategy to these patients [1]. In the phase 3 Study of (E7080) Lenvatinib in Differentiated Cancer of the Thyroid (SELECT) that enrolled patients with RR-DTC, lenvatinib, at a maximum starting dose of 24 mg once daily, significantly prolonged progression-free survival (PFS) vs placebo (median 18.3 vs 3.6 months, respectively; hazard ratio 0.21; 99% confidence interval, 0.14–0.31; P < 0.001) and was associated with a significantly better response rate (64.8% vs 1.5%, respectively) [5].

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