Exponential regression analysis of the Canadian Zero Emission Vehicle market’s effects on climate emissions in 2030

Abstract

The electric vehicle (EV) market has ballooned in sales in recent years with promises of emissions targets to inhibit the proliferation of symptoms of climate change. Canada, having acceded to the guidelines set by international climate preservation organizations, has set emissions targets for itself. As a result, the government has recognized the relevance of EVs in the Canadian auto market and has begun to subsidize their development and use. However, there is very little information available about the capacity of emissions that EVs can reduce. We explored how viable EVs could be as a solution to substantially reduce emissions from the transport industry. We used regression algorithms to identify the possibility of a 45% reduction in emissions from the transport industry as suggested by the Canadian government. Based on our research, we have concluded that it is highly unlikely that Canada will be able to meet its 2030 emissions reduction targets through the sale and use of EVs.