Exploring the Seeds of Organisational Decline

Abstract

This study develops a composite model and a two‐dimensional classification illustrating the seeds of organisational decline. In the first dimension, the origins of decline are shown as being internal or external to the organisation. The second dimension links the nature of the decline problem to people, technology, or fiscal policy factors. A Delphi study lent preliminary support to the conceptual model and suggested certain amendments. The revised model was then tested using a sample of 44 public accountants. The results suggest that accountants use information about an organisation's people, technology, and fiscal policies when assessing its likelihood of declining, and that human resources is the most powerful of the three factors.