Abstract
Industrial solid wastes (ISWs) not only destroys the ecological environment, but also seriously affects human health, which is one of the main obstacles to sustainable development. Consequently, Effective management of ISWs is essential to support efforts to achieve cleaner production and ecological upgrading of industrial structure. In this study, metabolic grey model (MGM (1,1)) is adopted to forecasting the ISWs generation and treatment in China. Meanwhile, we develop an ISWs management system involving its safeguard mechanisms. Forecasting results show that China's ISWs generated have been a slowly increasing trend from 2018 to 2025, which will be controlled between 389819 million tons and 488002 million tons, and the utilization, disposal and storage of ISWs have a significant upward trend. However, the ratio of ISWs utilized will eventually remain at around 50% in the future. According to the prediction results, the application of this ISWs management system can increase the efficiency of waste recycling and reuse, and make ISWs become renewable resources. Research results also illustrate that the safeguard mechanisms, including government policy tools, collaborative agents of the industry-university, green technology innovation, and circulation of green products, have ensured a highly efficient recycling and beneficial waste management to create more added values for the ISWs materials.
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