Abstract

<p><span>Increasing computational resources have led to the advent of Earth System Models.<span> However, to date many models still do not incorporate interactive chemistry due to its high computational costs. Previous work has shown the importance of interactive ozone in enhancing extreme springtime variability under present-day ozone depleting substance (ODS) levels. Here, we aim to understand the role of different greenhouse gas and ODS levels on this result. </span>In the present study we aim to answer this question for the Arctic springtime stratosphere, contrasting a suite of multi-decadal simulations performed with the ESMs WACCM4 and SOCOLv3-MPIOM with interactive and prescribed ozone chemistry. Our analysis focuses on the contribution of carbon dioxide and ozone for temperature and temperature variability at lower, middle and upper stratospheric levels. The ensembles comprise simulations with 1xCO<sub>2 </sub><span>or </span>4xCO<sub>2</sub>  <span>(without anthropogenic ODS) </span>and year 2000 (peak <span>ODS</span>) forcings, allowing us to investigate the relative importance of interactive chemistry vs. prescribed ozone under different "climate states <span>and ODS levels</span>". Our results show <span>1) that CO<sub>2</sub> is the primary driver of the mean temperature response in the upper stratosphere while ozone largely contributes to the mean change in the lower stratosphere; 2) the importance of interactive chemistry for a coherence (coupling) between temperature, zonal wind (used as proxy for the polar vortex strength) and ozone in the lower stratosphere; and 3) an important contribution of interactive chemistry to temperature variability under year 2000 but also 1xCO<sub>2</sub> forcing in contrast to simulations forced with 4xCO<sub>2</sub>.</span></span></p>

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