Abstract

BackgroundIn low or middle income countries chronic diseases are rapidly becoming the main cause of disease burden. However, the main focus of health policymakers has been on preventing death from cancer and heart disease, with very little attention to the growing problem of long-term needs for care (dependence). Numbers of dependent older people are set to quadruple by 2050. The economic impact of providing long-term care is likely to be substantial.Methods/designThe study uses mixed methods and draws on and extends the population-based surveys conducted by the 10/66 Dementia Research Group. We focus on two countries in Latin America (Peru and Mexico), China and Nigeria. The surveys comprised baseline surveys of health, socioeconomic circumstances and care arrangements, repeated three to four years later. We are going back to these households to make a detailed assessment of the overall economic status and the use of health services by all family members. We will compare households where: a) an older resident became dependent between baseline and follow-up (incident care), b) one or more older people were dependent at both time points (chronic care), b) c) no older residents had needs for care (control households) for household income, consumption, healthcare expenditure and economic strain. In each of the four countries we are carrying out six detailed household ‘case studies’ to explore in more depth the economic impacts of dependence, and the social relations between household members and others in their network.DiscussionThe INDEP study will provide a detailed examination of the economic and social effects of care dependence in low and middle income settings. As the proportion of older people with needs for care rises rapidly in these countries, this neglected policy area is likely to become increasingly salient for families, communities and policymakers alike. Our detailed multilevel plans for dissemination will ensure that the study helps to put this important issue on the agenda for the international and national media, the public and researchers.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (doi:10.1186/2193-1801-3-379) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Highlights

  • In low or middle income countries chronic diseases are rapidly becoming the main cause of disease burden

  • Relevance of INDEP Little is known about the lives of older dependent people in low and middle income countries (LMIC) and the effects of the older person’s health and social care needs upon the households in which they live

  • Evidence from our recent cross-sectional survey in Nigeria suggested that the only recourse for older dependent people was to live with or to be directly provided for by their family, families were not always in a position be able to ensure adequate social protection (Acosta et al 2010). Findings from this and other 10/66 sites suggested that caregiving may be associated with adverse economic impacts upon the household, including increased healthcare expenditure and the caregiver

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Summary

Introduction

In low or middle income countries chronic diseases are rapidly becoming the main cause of disease burden. Numbers of dependent older people are set to quadruple by 2050. The prevalence of chronic diseases is rising quickly across low and middle income countries (LMIC), accounting, by 2010, for the majority of disease burden (Abegunde et al 2007). The number of care-dependent older people in LMIC is forecast to quadruple by 2050 (Harwood et al 2004). These demographic and epidemiological trends have profound implications for poverty reduction, gender relations and equity

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