Abstract

Ischemic stroke (IS) is a major cause of disability and mortality worldwide. Increasing evidence suggests a strong association between blood pressure, blood glucose, circulating lipids, and IS. Nonetheless, the genetic association of these 3 risk factors with IS remains elusive. We screened genetic instruments related to blood pressure, blood glucose, and circulating lipids and paired them with IS genome-wide association study data to conduct Mendelian randomization analysis. Positive Mendelian randomization findings were then subjected to colocalization analysis. Subsequently, we utilized the Gene Expression Omnibus data set to perform differential expression analysis, aiming to identify differentially expressed associated genes. We determined the importance scores of these differentially expressed associated genes through 4 machine learning models and constructed a nomogram based on these findings. The combined results of the Mendelian randomization analysis indicate that blood pressure (systolic blood pressure: odds ratio [OR], 1.02 [95% CI, 1.01-1.02]; diastolic blood pressure: OR, 1.03 [95% CI, 1.03-1.04]) and some circulating lipids (low-density lipoprotein cholesterol: OR, 1.06 [95% CI, 1.01-1.12]; apoA1: OR, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.92-0.98]; apoB: OR, 1.05 [95% CI, 1.01-1.09]; eicosapentaenoic acid: OR, 2.36 [95% CI, 1.41-3.96]) have causal relationships with the risk of IS onset. We identified 73 genes that are linked to blood pressure and circulating lipids in the context of IS, and 16 are differentially expressed associated genes. FURIN, MAN2A2, HDDC3, ALDH2, and TOMM40 were identified as feature genes for constructing the nomogram that provides a quantitative prediction of the risk of IS onset. This study indicates that there are causal links between blood pressure, certain circulating lipids, and the development of IS. The potential mechanisms underlying these causal relationships involve the regulation of lipid metabolism, blood pressure, DNA repair and methylation, cell apoptosis and autophagy, immune inflammation, and neuronal protection, among others.

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