Abstract

In identifying biomarkers for anticancer drugs, the lack of objectivity in selecting candidate factors makes interpretation difficult. We performed preclinical analysis and a translational validation study to identify candidate biomarkers for regorafenib efficacy in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Using in silico COMPARE analysis with a human cancer cell line panel, JFCR39, we selected candidate biomarkers whose expression correlates with regorafenib sensitivity. We validated predictive values in mCRC patients receiving regorafenib (discovery, n = 53) and FTD/TPI (control, n = 16). Blood samples were obtained at baseline (BL), before the second cycle (2nd), and at progressive disease (PD), and biomarker levels were measured using ELISA. Our analysis showed that high matrix metalloproteinase (MMP)-14 expression was associated with a high sensitivity to regorafenib. In the discovery cohort, high MMP-14 levels at BL and PD were correlated with tumor shrinkage and longer progression-free survival (PFS). A subsequent analysis of other related factors further indicated that the patients with decreased MMP-9 levels at the 2nd had higher disease control rates, tumor shrinkage, longer PFS, and overall survival than those with increased changes. These findings were not observed in the control cohort. Our study suggests MMP-14 and MMP-9 may serve as prognostic markers for regorafenib and provide insights into novel combination therapies with anti-MMP-9 agents or FTD/TPI.

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