Abstract

The current president of the Turkish Republic has dominated domestic politics since 2003. For the first time in this two-decade period, the political opposition appears to be a serious threat and according to polls, they run neck-and-neck. This paper assesses to what extent the economy has played a role once again in determining the electoral results of the last twenty years in Turkey. This issue is addressed by comparing the performance of the Turkish economy of the twenty-year period before and after the critical year of 2003 when the current Turkish leader emerged to power. The descriptive analysis of the data is unable to reject the main hypothesis of this paper that it is the economy which plays an important role--albeit not the only one--in determining electoral success. Keywords: Turkey, elections, economy, per capita GDP, unemployment, inflation, military spending, education enrollment, foreign exchange rate

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