Experimental evolution of bacteria across 60,000 generations, and what it might mean for economics and human decision-making

Abstract

Evolutionary biology and economics are both rich in theory and steeped in data, but they also share challenges including the fact that the systems they seek to understand are, in certain respects, unique and not easily manipulated. Nonetheless, both fields have seen growing efforts to provide experimental approaches to address specific issues. Here, we review some results from a 30-year experiment in which 12 populations of bacteria have been evolving for over 60,000 generations to characterize: (i) the time scale of adaptation to new conditions, (ii) the repeatability of evolutionary changes, and (iii) the benefits and costs of specialization. In each case, we speculate on potential connections and implications of these findings for the field of economics. Moreover, both the bacteria in this experiment and people in modern societies live in novel environments, which leads to an evolutionary mismatch between their genes and environments. Regardless of the value of our speculations, we hope this paper stimulates further interest in pursuing experiments in fields that are often viewed as observational and not amenable to experimentation.