Experimental and Statistical Study on the Formation Characteristics and Discrimination Criteria of River Blockages Caused by Landslides

Abstract

The discrimination of river blockages is very important for the risk assessment of landslide disasters and secondary hazards. Experimental studies and statistical analyses were carried out to explore the formation process and discriminant criteria of river blockages caused by landslides. An adjustable slide chute was designed and built to conduct forty-five landslide experiments. According to the experimental results, river blockage was identified as having six types based on the differences between the water depth and the height of the landslide dam, and the degree of river blockage increased from 70% to 100% as the chute angle, particle size, and landslide volume increased. It is also found that landslide volume controls the landslide dam height and degree of blockage, and particle size and slide angle control both the landslide velocity as it enters the river and the cross-section shape of the landslide dam. To investigate more influence factors, a statistical investigation of 60 real landslide cases was carried out, and it revealed that some geometric attributes related to landslide volume have the highest correlation with river blockage, especially landslide thickness. Finally, an improved probability model was proposed to assess the possibility of complete blockage, and it has overall accuracies of 91.1% and 83.3% when applied to predict experimental landslide cases and real landslide cases, respectively.