Abstract
This paper describes a recent experiment conducted with Patriot air defense officers and employing the Patriot air defense simulators at Ft. Bliss, Texas. The experiment found that, under certain conditions, the participants made different identification judgments and took different engagement actions depending on the sequence in which the same information was presented to them. This finding was consistent with the theoretical predictions of the Hogarth-Einhorn belief updating model. However, there were large individual differences, and experience mitigated the effect. These findings replicate previous research by the authors using a paper-and-pencil instrument. Limitations in the current experiment are discussed, as are directions for future research.
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