Abstract

AbstractGlaciers in the eastern Pamir have reportedly been gaining mass during recent decades, even though glaciers in most other regions in High Mountain Asia have been in recession. Questions still remain about whether the trend is strengthening or weakening, and how far the positive balances extend into the eastern Pamir. To address these gaps, we use three different digital elevation models to reconstruct glacier surface elevation changes over two periods (2000–09 and 2000–15/16). We characterize the eastern Pamir as a zone of transition from positive to negative mass balance with the boundary lying at the northern end of Kongur Tagh, and find that glaciers situated at higher elevations are those with the most positive balances. Most (67% of 55) glaciers displayed a net mass gain since the 21st century. This led to an increasing regional geodetic glacier mass balance from −0.06 ± 0.16 m w.e. a−1 in 2000–09 to 0.06 ± 0.04 m w.e. a−1 in 2000–15/16. Surge-type glaciers, which are prevalent in the eastern Pamir, showed fluctuations in mass balance on an individual scale during and after surges, but no statistical difference compared to non-surge-type glaciers when aggregated across the region.

Highlights

  • Fluctuations in mountain glaciers are recognized as a key indicator of climate change, resulting in sea-level changes and regional glacier-related hazards (Oerlemans, 1994; Meier and others, 2007; Bolch and others, 2012; Gardner and others, 2013; IPCC, 2019)

  • We present a comparison of surge-type and non-surge-type glacier mass balances, and evaluate the extent to which the presence of surge-type glaciers may impact on broad-region mass budget estimations

  • Kuosikulake Glacier was identified as being of surge-type in the Muztag Ata

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Summary

Introduction

Fluctuations in mountain glaciers are recognized as a key indicator of climate change, resulting in sea-level changes and regional glacier-related hazards (Oerlemans, 1994; Meier and others, 2007; Bolch and others, 2012; Gardner and others, 2013; IPCC, 2019). High Mountain Asia (HMA), including the Tibetan Plateau and its surroundings, is home to the largest number of glaciers outside Earth’s polar regions. Most of these glaciers have been in a sustained phase of recession during recent decades. The Pamir has been highlighted in several studies as the zone of transition between negative (to the west) and positive (to the east) mass balances (Brun and others, 2017; Lin and others, 2017), differentiating the glaciers here from a worldwide thinning trend (Gardner and others, 2013; Zemp and others, 2017)

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