Abstract

This paper aims to contribute to the growing literature on crowding out/in effects of public transfers in Turkey. We estimate the effects of public transfers on the amount and likelihood of receiving private transfers. We find that individual-level public transfers lead to crowding out whereas public transfers targeting households have no significant neutralizing effect. Comparing consecutive periods, the effect of altruistic motivation and crowding out are both decreasing. The broadly defined private transfers including housing support have a downstream character, are less altruistically motivated and produce less crowding out than with the narrow definition. This study has several policy implications: (i) public transfers for families excluded from social security coverage should be increased; (ii) public transfers targeting households should be strengthened; (iii) lone parents, particularly female-headed households should be prioritized; (iv) social welfare policy needs to complement private solidarity channels as the family structure and income composition of households change.

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