Evolution Mode, Influencing Factors, and Socioeconomic Value of Urban Industrial Land Management in China

Abstract

(1) Background: Accurate measurement of the matching relationship between urban industrial land change and economic growth is of great value for industrialized and re-industrialized countries to perform land resource management in territorial spatial planning. (2) Methods: Based on the combination of the Boston Consulting Group matrix, Geodetector, and decoupling model, we constructed a new method integrating “model evolution + driving mechanism + performance evaluation + policy design” in this paper, and conducted an empirical study on the economic value of urban industrial land management in the Yangtze River Delta. (3) Results: The evolution modes of urban industrial land in the Yangtze River Delta are divided into four types: stars, cows, dogs, and question, distributed in structures ranging from an “olive” shape to a “pyramid” shape, with high spatial heterogeneity and agglomeration and low autocorrelation. The government demand led by driving economic growth and making large cities bigger is the key factor driving the change in urban industrial land and the influence of transportation infrastructure and the business environment has remained stable for a long time. The mechanisms of industrialization, globalization, and innovation are becoming increasingly complicated. Industrial land change and value-added growth in most cities have long been in a state of strong and weak decoupling, with progressive decoupling occurring alongside the unchanged stage and regressive decoupling. The government outperforms the market in terms of urban industrial land management, and the degradation of the synergy between urban industrial land and corporate assets emerges as a new threat to sustainable and high-quality development of the region. (4) Conclusions: This paper establishes a technical framework for zoning management and classification governance of urban industrial land to divide the Yangtze River Delta into reduction-oriented transformation policy zoning, incremental high-quality development zoning, incremental synchronous growth zoning, and reduction and upgrading development zoning. It also proposes an adaptive land supply governance strategy for quantitative and qualitative control, providing a basis for territorial spatial planning and land resource management.