Evidential Estimation of an Uncertain Mixed Exponential Distribution under Progressive Censoring.

Abstract

In this paper, the evidential estimation method for the parameters of the mixed exponential distribution is considered when a sample is obtained from Type-II progressively censored data. Different from the traditional statistical inference methods for censored data from mixture models, here we consider a very general form where there is some uncertain information about the sub-class labels of units. The partially specified label information, as well as the censored data are represented in a united frame by mass functions within the theory of belief functions. Following that, the evidential likelihood function is derived based on the completely observed failures and the uncertain information included in the data. Then, the optimization method using the evidential expectation maximization algorithm (E2M) is introduced. A general form of the maximal likelihood estimates (MLEs) in the sense of the evidential likelihood, named maximal evidential likelihood estimates (MELEs), can be obtained. Finally, some Monte Carlo simulations are conducted. The results show that the proposed estimation method can incorporate more information than traditional EM algorithms, and this confirms the interest in using uncertain labels for the censored data from finite mixture models.