Event Detection in Noisy Streaming Data with Combination of Corroborative and Probabilistic Sources

Abstract

Global physical event detection has traditionally relied on dense coverage of physical sensors around the world; while this is an expensive undertaking, there have not been alternatives until recently. The ubiquity of social networks and human sensors in the field provides a tremendous amount of real-time, live data about true physical events from around the world. However, while such human sensor data have been exploited for retrospective large-scale event detection such as hurricanes or earthquakes, there has been limited to no success in exploiting this rich resource for general physical event detection. Prior implementation approaches have suffered from the concept drift phenomenon, where real-world data exhibits continuous, unknown, and unbounded changes in its data distribution, making static machine learning models ineffective in the long term. We propose and implement an end-to-end collaborative drift adaptive system that integrates corroborative and probabilistic sources to deliver real-time predictions. Furthermore, our system is adaptive to concept drift and performs automated continuous learning to maintain high performance. We demonstrate our approach in a real-time demo available online for landslide disaster detection, with extensibility to other real-world physical events such as flooding, wildfires, hurricanes, and earthquakes.