Abstract

Core Ideas Higher maize yields do not require more water. The transpiration efficiency approach results in biased estimates of ET in high‐yielding maize production. Evapotranspiration does not change in higher plant populations if water supply is adequate. Projected changes in vapor pressure deficit will not lead to greater water use in maize. This paper describes the results of an analysis demonstrating that high yields in maize can be obtained without additional water under current and projected vapor pressure deficits. The objective of the study was to quantify evapotranspiration (ET) in high‐yielding maize under current and projected vapor pressure deficits using the energy balance contrasted with the transpiration efficiency (TE) approach. This study indicates a lack of accuracy and bias in the TE approach when future crop water requirements were estimated. High maize yields are achievable using on average 700 mm of water as demonstrated by the current record maize grain yield of 34 Mg ha−1, which is ∼23 Mg ha−1 higher than the US average. These yields are achievable with approximately the same ET even under projected changes in vapor pressure deficit, through improved genetics and optimum agronomic management.

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