Evaluation the effect of APACHE II and APACHE III after cardiac surgery

Abstract

Objective To compare sensitivity and specificity of the acute physiology,age,and chronic health evaluation system Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ),the acute physiology,age,and chronic health evaluation system Ⅲ (APACHE Ⅲ) system in predicting prognosis after cardiac operation.Methods A prospective study of 1 180 consecutive patients entering in a single cardiac postoperative intensive care unit of Anzhen hospital was assigned between November 2013 to January 2014.APACHE Ⅱ and APACHE Ⅲscore was calculated daily at least three days or until death,then compared the calibration and discrimination of the two different system using Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit and receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve.Results In discrimination analysis,ROC value of the first day after operation was(APACHE Ⅱ 0.699 、APACHE Ⅲ 0.734),ROC of the maximum(APACHE Ⅱ 0.836,APACHE Ⅲ 0.862),ROC of the maximum during the first 3 days(APACHE Ⅱ 0.814、APACHE Ⅲ 0.855),ROC of the change between the third day and the first day(APACHE Ⅱ 0.524 、APACHE Ⅲ 0.549).In calibration analysis,we compared the x2 value and overall corrected percentage of the first day value,the maximum value,the maximum value during the first 3 days,the change value between the third day and the first day of the three different system.x2 value of APACHE Ⅱ was(15.688,10.132,8.061,42.253),x2 value ofAPACHE Ⅲ was(13.608,11.196,19.310,47.576).Conclusion APACHE Ⅲ was better than APACHE Ⅱ in prediction of death risk after cardiac surgery. Key words: APACHE ; Cardiac surgical procedures ; Risk assessment