Evaluation of three “beyond Baveno VI” criteria to safely spare endoscopies in compensated advanced chronic liver disease

Abstract

BackgroundLiver stiffness measurement (LSM) <20 kPa and platelet count >150,000/mm3 exclude varices needing treatment (VNT) in viral compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD), saving-up to 20–25% endoscopies (Baveno VI criteria). Refinements of such criteria to further reduce endoscopies and an approach without LSM (Platelet 150/MELD 6) were later proposed. AimsTo assess LSM 25/platelet 125, LSM 25/platelet 110 (Expanded-Baveno VI) and Platelet 150/MELD 6 accuracy versus Baveno VI criteria, and the impact of platelet count variability on criteria accuracy in all-etiologies cACLD. MethodscACLD patients undergoing screening endoscopy with laboratory data within 6 months and LSM within one year. ResultsOf 442 patients, 31% had varices (7% with VNT). Baveno VI criteria had 100% sensitivity (Se) and negative predictive value (NPV) and spared 19.5% endoscopies. “LSM 25/platelet 125” and “Expanded-Baveno VI” criteria maintained such accuracy, sparing 15% and 24% more endoscopies, respectively (p < 0.001). Platelet 150/MELD 6 was less accurate, misclassifying 10% VNT. Platelet count variability exceeded 8% and one VNT patient was misclassified with both “Expanded-Baveno VI” and “LSM 25/platelet 125” criteria considering the previous platelet count. ConclusionsBoth “Expanded-Baveno VI” and “LSM 25/platelet 125” criteria are accurate in cACLD, but the former are more advantageous. Platelet 150/MELD 6 proved inadequate.