Abstract

The diagnostic and prognostic clinical value of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and cell-free DNA (cfDNA) in pancreatic malignancies are unclear. Herein, we aimed to perform a meta-analysis to evaluate ctDNA and cfDNA as potential diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers. PRISMA reporting guidelines were followed closely for conducting the current meta-analysis. The PubMed/Medline, Scopus, and Web of Science (WoS) databases were scanned in detail to identify eligible papers for the study. A quality assessment was performed in accordance with the REMARK criteria. The risk ratios (RRs) of the diagnostic accuracy of ctDNA compared to that of carbohydrate antigen 19.9 (CA 19.9) in all disease stages and the hazard ratios (HRs) of the prognostic role of ctDNA in overall survival (OS) were calculated with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A total of 18 papers were evaluated to assess the diagnostic accuracy and prognostic value of biomarkers related to pancreatic malignancies. The pooled analysis indicated that CA19.9 provides greater diagnostic accuracy across all disease stages than ctDNA or cfDNA (RR = 0.64, 95% CI: 0.50-0.82, p < 0.001). Additionally, in a secondary analysis focusing on prognosis, patients who were ctDNA-positive were found to have significantly worse OS (HR = 2.00, 95% CI: 1.51-2.66, p < 0.001). The findings of this meta-analysis demonstrated that CA19-9 still has greater diagnostic accuracy across all disease stages than KRAS mutations in ctDNA or cfDNA. Nonetheless, the presence of detectable levels of ctDNA was associated with worse patient outcomes regarding OS. There is a growing need for further research on this topic. https://doi.org/10.37766/inplasy2023.12.0092, identifier INPLASY2023120092.

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