Abstract

The 5×5 km resolution of Non-Hydrostatic Regional Climate Model (NHRCM) developed by Meteorological Research Institute, Japan was used to evaluate the southwest monsoon season that affects to Thailand during mid-May until mid-October in each years. Bulk-type cloud microphysics, Kain-Fritsch convective scheme, Mellor-Yamada-Nakanishi-Niino level 3 PBL scheme, clear-sky radiation scheme and Hirai-Ohizumi land surface scheme are used as model configuration to simulate climate data under high emission scenario-RCP 8.5. This research was conducted for 2 time periods, i.e., baseline period (1981–2000) and future period (2080–2099), to estimate the southwest monsoon season onset and offset over Thailand by using average wind vector and cumulative precipitation in consecutive 5 days (pentad). Furthermore, the rain-break phase, less precipitation ranges during the southwest monsoon season, had also been analysed.

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