Evaluation of Pregnancy, Younger Age, and Old Age as Independent Risk Factors for Poor Hospitalization Outcomes in Influenza A (H1N1)pdm09 Virus a Decade After the Pandemic.

Abstract

IntroductionThe influenza A (H1N1)pdm09 virus infection was first reported in Mexico in 2009 and quickly became the first flu pandemic of the 21st century. Statistics show that the prevalence of H1N1 infection was higher among young adults during the pandemic while the elderly were at more risk of death. However; many studies have shown a gradual change over the years, with attack rates increasing in older adults as compared to young adults. The other significant vulnerable group for this infection seems to be pregnant women. Over the years, many authors have found that pregnancy may not be a significant risk factor for increased hospitalization and poorer outcomes. This study aims to perform a comparative analysis and thereby assess pregnancy, younger age, and old age as independent risk factors for poor hospitalization outcomes.Materials and methodsThe hospital records of all patients with H1N1 infection admitted between January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2018, were screened. The patients included in the study were young adults (18-31 years), pregnant women, and the elderly (≥65 years). Comparative analysis was done between them. Nominal variables were compared using the chi-square test.ResultsA total of 379 patients were admitted to our hospital with H1N1 infection from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2018. There were 75 elderly (19.7%), 224 (59%) middle-aged adults, 55 (14.5%) young adults, and 25 (6.5%) pregnant women. Fever (90%, 84%, and 96%) and cough with expectoration (72%, 67.3%, and 40%) were the most prevalent symptoms. The elderly reported more dyspnoea (28% vs. 5.5%, 4 %). Diabetes mellitus was found in 73.3 % of the elderly, 3.6% of the young adults, and 12% of pregnant women. Hypertension was present in 45% of the elderly, 1.8% of young adults, and 4% of pregnant women. Coronary artery disease was seen in 22.7% of the elderly and 1.8% of young adults. Chronic kidney disease (5.3%) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (13.3%) were seen only in the elderly group. Relative lymphopenia was prevalent in all groups and was more in pregnant women (76% vs. 61.8% and 41.8%) as compared to other groups. Serum creatinine was elevated in 38% of the elderly, 2% of young adults, and 0% of pregnant women. Abnormal chest radiograph was reported for 48% of the elderly, 30.9% of young adults, and 12% of pregnant women. Twenty-six point seven percent (26.7%) of the elderly needed more than a weeks' stay as compared to 7.3% of young adults and 20% of pregnant women. Thirty-two percent (32%) of the elderly required intensive care as compared to 1.5% of young adults and none of the pregnant women. More of the elderly (26.7%) required ventilator support than other groups (7.3% and 4%). About 25.3% of the elderly had a superinfection. Eight percent (8%) of the elderly died in the study while none died in the other groups.ConclusionAge representation and poor hospitalization outcomes due to H1N1 seem to have shifted from young adults to older age groups. The elderly are at more risk for a prolonged stay, intensive care, ventilator support, and death as compared to young adults and pregnant women. Pregnancy may not be associated with poor hospitalization outcomes for H1N1 as has been earlier thought.