Evaluation of placental alpha microglobulin-1(PAMG1) accuracy for prediction of preterm delivery in women with the symptoms of spontaneous preterm labor; a comparison with cervical length and number of contractions

Abstract

Introduction Since the capacity of tertiary centers is limited, identifying women with the risk of preterm delivery is crucial amongst women who refer to hospitals with threatened preterm labor. Objective The purpose of the present study was to evaluate the accuracy of the placental alpha microglobulin-1 (PAMG-1) test for identifying women who referred to hospitals with signs of spontaneous preterm labor and ultimately delivered within ≤48 h and ≤7 of testing and ≤37 weeks of gestation and its comparison with cervical length of <25 mm and number of contractions. Materials and methods A prospective observational study was performed on women with the signs of spontaneous preterm labor. Placental alpha microglobulin-1 (PAMG-1) was evaluated in vaginal secretion. Cervical length (CL) and number of contractions were evaluated and recorded. The test to- spontaneous- delivery interval was documented. Sensitivity (SN), specificity (SP), accuracy rate of the PAMG-1, cervical length of <25 mm and number of contractions in prediction of spontaneous preterm delivery within ≤48 h, ≤7 days and preterm delivery (≤37 weeks of gestation) were calculated. Results One hundred eighty women finished the study. 44 women had positive PAMG-1 test and 58 women had cervical length of <25 mm. Women with a positive PAMG-1 were more likely to deliver within ≤48 h (p < .0001), ≤7 days (p < .0001), and before 37 weeks (p < .0001), compared to the women who had a negative test. For delivery within ≤48 h, ≤7 days and ≤37 weeks, specificity (SP) of the PAMG-1; was statistically higher than cervical length of <25 mm and contractions of 12–17/hr but not contractions of ≥18/hr. PAMG-1 showed a higher accuracy rate than cervical length of <25 mm, contractions of 12–17/hr and contractions of ≥18/hr for deliveries within ≤48 h (78.9, 55.3, 48.9, and 69.44%, respectively) and ≤7 days (76.1, 55.32, 55, and 65.56%, respectively). For deliveries before 37 weeks; the PAMG-1 test showed higher LR + than CL of <25 mm, contractions of 12–17/hr and contractions of ≥18/hr [10.24 (2.57–40.86), 2.01 (1.24–3.23), 1.30 (1.05–1.62), and 5.12 (1.24–21.11), respectively]. PPV for deliveries within ≤48 h and ≤7 days for PAMG-1 was greater than cervical length of <25 mm and number of contractions, however, NPV did not show a significant difference. Conclusion PAMG-1 test showed a higher accuracy rate for prediction of delivery within ≤48 and ≤7 days in comparison with cervical length of <25 mm and number of contractions. Also, PAMG-1 test had a higher positive likelihood ratio for deliveries at ≤37 weeks. PPV for deliveries within ≤48 h and ≤7 days for PAMG-1 was greater than cervical length of <25 mm and number of contractions, however, NPV did not show a significant difference.