Abstract

BackgroundLymph node metastasis (LNM) is a well-established prognostic factor for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), but there are still some controversies relating to the evaluation of nodal status. Therefore, we investigated the role of lymph node dissection (LND), compared the prognostic performances of different nodal staging systems, and then developed and validated a nomogram to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) of ICC patients.MethodsThe study cohort was taken from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, Harrell’s C-index and area under the receiver operating characteristic curves were calculated to evaluate the different staging models. The nomogram for the CSS was constructed based on Cox regression models and validated by calibration curves. Decision curve analysis was introduced to examine the clinical value of the models.ResultsA total of 664 patients were enrolled, and 331 (51.4%) patients underwent LND. An increasing number of lymph nodes retrieved showed no oncologic benefit (P=0.876). LNM was identified in 103 (31.1%) patients, which was the cause of their poor prognoses (5-yr CSS 13.1% versus 44.9%, P<0.001). Patients without LNM could not benefit from adjuvant therapy after propensity score matching (P=0.140). Based on the Youden index, 4 or more lymph nodes retrieved might be adequate for accurate staging. The lymph node ratio (LNR) classification, with an optimal cut-off value of 0.15, displayed the best prognostic performance. Age, size, tumor number, T Stage, grade and the LNR classification were independent predictive factors for the CSS in ICC patients. The nomogram for predicting the CSS of ICC patients according to the independent factors was well calibrated and it showed better discrimination power and higher net benefits than the American Joint Committee on Cancer (8th edition) staging system.ConclusionsLNM is an independent prognostic factor in ICC. Although it shows no oncologic benefits, LND should still be considered as a method of stratifying patients, with 4 or more lymph nodes retrieved potentially enough to do so. LNR appears to be a promising and easy-to-use prognosticator for nodal staging. The constructed nomogram could serve as an effective tool to predict the CSS probabilities of ICC patients.

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