Abstract
The terrain along the Tibet Railway is primarily steep mountains and valleys with complex geological structures. The occurrence of the Mainling earthquake indicates that the intensity of seismicity in the eastern structural junction area has strengthened, and the potential risk of earthquake-induced disasters such as landslides and debris flows is also increasing. The earthquake engineering community generally recognizes that the prediction of near-field strong ground motion can reduce the disasters caused by future large earthquakes and can guide earthquake prevention, disaster reduction and seismic design along the Sichuan–Tibet railway. The M6.9 Mainling earthquake affected the stability of Sedongpu Glacier near the epicentre. A glacier avalanche occurred under the coupling of multiple factors, including post-earthquake and precipitation events. The waveform and response spectra of a strong earthquake are key input parameters for investigating the seismic triggering mechanisms of landslides and glacier avalanches and accurately reproducing the dynamics of such disasters. In this paper, the concept of the equivalent Green's function is introduced, and various source parameter uncertainties are fully considered. The waveform and response spectra of the Mainling earthquake at Sedongpu Glacier are simulated, and the most likely seismic waveform is comprehensively assessed from multiple perspectives. This work can provide reliable acceleration waveform input for the analysis of ground motion damage and the study of earthquake-induced disaster mechanisms at important locations along the Sichuan–Tibet railway and provide a scientific reference for earthquake prevention and disaster reduction along the railway.
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