Abstract
Emergency intelligence capability is an important index reflecting the intelligence level of emergency management. The accuracy of emergency intelligence capability evaluation is related to the scientific nature of emergency decision-making. By analyzing the operation process and mechanism of the emergency intelligence system for major public health events, this paper establishes the evaluation index system of the emergency intelligence capability. By using the decision method of VIKOR and considering the preference of experts in the evaluation process, this paper proposes the evaluation model based on the probabilistic uncertain language environment. The use of probabilistic uncertain linguistic term set (PULTS) to describe the uncertain information is helpful to improve the scientific and accuracy of emergency rescue decision-making of major public health events and then realize the organic unity of emergency information and scientific decision-making of public health events.
Highlights
Major public health event is a kind of public crisis, which has the characteristics of unpredictability, abruptness, and particularity
Establishing and improving the evaluation system of emergency intelligence capability is the basis of improving the efficiency of dealing with major public health event. ere was a variety of major public health events endangering human beings, including plague, smallpox, cholera, leprosy, diphtheria, syphilis, typhus, malaria, rabies, tuberculosis, and dozens of other diseases. ey brought varying degrees of harm to human beings, with plague and smallpox being the most important
Based on the construction of the evaluation system of emergency intelligence capability for major public health events, we make a scientific evaluation of the system of emergency intelligence capability full of uncertainty and complexity, considering the cognitive limitations and fuzzy thinking of decision-makers
Summary
Major public health event is a kind of public crisis, which has the characteristics of unpredictability, abruptness, and particularity. Establishing and improving the evaluation system of emergency intelligence capability is the basis of improving the efficiency of dealing with major public health event. Ere was a variety of major public health events endangering human beings, including plague, smallpox, cholera, leprosy, diphtheria, syphilis, typhus, malaria, rabies, tuberculosis, and dozens of other diseases. E outbreak of SARS in 2003, the outbreak of Ebola virus in West Africa, and the raging COVID-19 pandemic have posed serious threats to people’s lives and health as well as economic and social development. Due to many influencing factors involved, there is still a lack of comprehensive research on emergency intelligence capability evaluation system. In order to improve the rescue efficiency of major public health events, it is urgent to carry out in-depth research on the evaluation index system of emergency intelligence capability
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