Abstract

Precise predictive tools are critical for choosing the individualized treatment protocols and follow-up procedures for patients with gastric cancer (GC). In this study, we aimed to evaluate and validate the prognostic abilities of preoperative nutrition and immunity parameters in GC after curative R0 resection.We established two nomograms based on 437 patients who underwent curative radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer to predict the postoperative overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS), and then compared the predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomograms with the TNM stage systems for GC. An internal validation cohort of 141 patients and an external validation cohort of 116 patients were used to validate the result.The independent predictive factors for OS or RFS, including T stage, N stage, differentiated degree, neutrophil monocyte lymphocyte ratio (NMLR) and albumin globulin ratio (AGR) were used to establish the 2 nomograms. The C-index of the OS nomogram was 0.802, which was higher than that of the AGR, the NMLR and the TNM stage. The C-index of the RFS nomogram was 0.850, which was higher than that of the AGR, the NMLR and the TNM stage. Analogously, the areas under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROCs, 0.920 for OS and 0.897 for RFS, respectively) of the two nomograms were higher than that of the NMLR, the AGR and the TNM stage. In the internal validation cohort, the C-indexes of the OS and RFS nomograms were 0.812 and 0.826, respectively. In the external validation cohort, the C-indexes of the OS and RFS nomograms were 0.866 and 0.880, respectively.The proposed nomograms including nutrition and immunity parameters were proved to have excellent predictive ability in survival and recurrence for patients with GC after R0 resection.

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