Abstract

All the thirteen official earthquake prediction telegrams sent by VAN-researchers during September 10th, 1985, to April 28th, 1988 based on seismic electric signals (SES) observations were examined against seismic data. The first four telegrams, pertaining to the M s = 6.0 Kalamata earthquake and its aftershocks, were all failures. Of the remaining nine telegrams, five were complete failures, because there was no earthquakes with M > 4 in the candidate areas within 11 d after the telegram. Even when some events occured after the telegram, correlation with prediction was either non-unique or the error in magnitude was too large. In seven cases, earthquakes with a magnitude comparable to that of predicted events took place in the candidate areas, just before the related telegrams without any SES, contrary to VAN's assertion of one to one correspondence between SES and earthquakes.

Full Text
Paper version not known

Talk to us

Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have

Schedule a call

Disclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.