Abstract
Objectives - to make an assessment of the actual situation in the population ageing process and to define its tendency. Material and methods. The classification characteristics are defined based on the calculation on the elderly people ratio to the total number of people. The structure of the international ranking is presented. The modern approach such as a prospective age was the basis of the ageing evaluation. The point of analysis was the ageing tendency in the Samara region population in the 20th century, observing its range and structure marks, the degree according to the ageing index. Results. The prognostic ageing values of the 2010 year for the period till 2031were corrected. The escalation of the eldest population group in the nearest future was decisively proved. The further interdisciplinary problem management was stated to be focused on, as the elderly people are crucially dependent on the just-in-time and full-range healthcare services supported by the social adaptation.
Highlights
The classification characteristics are defined based on the calculation on the elderly people ratio to the total number of people
The structure of the international ranking is presented. The modern approach such as a prospective age was the basis of the ageing evaluation
The point of analysis was the ageing tendency in the Samara region population in the 20th century, observing its range and structure marks, the degree according to the ageing index
Summary
Цель – оценить современное состояние и тенденции развития процесса демографического старения населения. Приводятся классификационные признаки «старости» населения, основанные на расчете доли пожилых людей в общей численности населения. Использован современный методологический подход измерения старения по проспективной шкале возраста. Рассчитаны показатели уровня и структуры демографического старения населения Самарской области на протяжении XX века, определен его масштаб по индексам старения и глубины. Проведена коррекция прогностических оценок показателей старения, составленных в 2010 году на период до 2031 года. Убедительно выявлена ближайшая перспектива ускорения роста численности самых старших групп населения. Сформулирована необходимость дальнейшего междисциплинарного изучения проблемы демографического старения, поскольку для лиц пожилого и старческого возраста своевременность и полнота получения медицинской помощи во взаимосвязи с постоянной медико-социальной адаптивной поддержкой является необходимым условием качества жизни. Ключевые слова: демографическое старение, глубина старения, прогноз старения. Objectives – to make an assessment of the actual situation in the population ageing process and to define its tendency
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